darts VS sktime

Don't use an LSTM. Get up to date with SoTA methods and read the papers in the field. LSTMs are not the way forward. Read the papers I suggested. It would be very useful to come to grips with both the Time Series Repository (https://github.com/thuml/Time-Series-Library) and Darts (https://github.com/unit8co/darts) as these are widely used for research and in industry.

As others have pointed out, Prophet is not a particularly good model for forecasting, and has been superseded by a multitude of other models. If you want to do time series forecasting, I'd recommend using Darts: https://github.com/unit8co/darts. Darts implements a wide range of models and is fairly easy to use.

The problem with time series forecasting in general is that they make a lot of assumptions on the shape of your data, and you'll find you're spending a lot of time figuring out mutating your data. For example, they expect that your data comes at a very regular interval. This is fine if it's, say, the data from a weather station. This doesn't work well in clinical settings (imagine a patient admitted into the ER -- there is a burst of data, followed by no data).

That said, there's some interesting stuff out there that I've been experimenting with that seems to be more tolerant of irregular time series and can be quite useful. If you're interested in exchanging ideas, drop me a line (email in my profile).

3. darts

Looking forward to checking this out! How does this compare with darts[1]?

[1] https://unit8co.github.io/darts/

Darts is an open-source Python library by Unit8 for easy handling, pre-processing, and forecasting of time series. It contains an array of models, from standard statistical models such as ARIMA to deep neural networks. https://unit8co.github.io/darts/

active support

The new Forecast menu, featuring the open-source Darts Time Series library, offers script-friendly functionality. It's also easy to use. Don't have any data to load yet? Enter through the Stocks or Crypto menus.

I would recommend Darts in Python [1]. It's easy to use (think fit()/predict()) and includes

* Statistical models (ETS, (V)ARIMA(X), etc)

* ML models (sklearn models, LGBM, etc)

* Many recent deep learning models (N-BEATS, TFT, etc)

* Seamlessly works on multi-dimensional series

* Models can be trained on multiple series

* Many models offer rich support for probabilistic forecasts

* Model evaluation is easy: Darts has many metrics, offers backtest etc

* Deep learning scales to large datasets, using GPUs, TPUs, etc

* There's even now an explainability module for some of the models - showing you what matters for computing the forecasts

* (coming soon): an anomaly detection module :)

* (also, it even include FB Prophet if you really want to use it)

Warning: I'm probably biased because I'm Darts creator.

[1] https://github.com/unit8co/darts

I would recommend you to read the following paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.04939 and their implementation: https://github.com/hfawaz/InceptionTime . Moreover, check out sktime: https://github.com/sktime/sktime

I initially used the SkTime's Croston class SKTime Croston but when I try to get the fitted values using the steps in the discussion on github, the values are the same, a straight line throughout the in-sample to ou-of-sample predictions.

Time series -> https://github.com/alan-turing-institute/sktime have a look and have fun :)

SKTime

https://github.com/alan-turing-institute/sktime

It provides specialized time series algorithms and scikit-learn compatible tools to build, tune and validate time series models for multiple learning problems.

sktime is built by an active open-source community, working together during regular meetings, workshops and sprints. For new contributors, we provide mentoring sessions and tutorials.

If you are interested in contributing or just a chat about the project, feel free to submit a PR or just reach out to us. We welcome all kinds of contributions: code, API design, testing, documentation, outreach, mentoring and more.